Allianz Risk Barometer 2016
1 February 2016
Digitalization and new technology are emerging as significant new risks for Australian businesses
- Business Interruption & Supply Chain risks remains of most concern to businesses globally but increasing digitalization and the fast moving pace of technological innovation is expected to have a greater impact on future
- Market Developments incorporating volatility, market stagnation and intensified competition, particularly from non-traditional competitors and agile start-ups, appears in the top 3 risks for the first time.
- Globally, Cyber Risks (eg cybercrime, IT failures, data breaches) has continued its rise up the list to third, with significant focus now also on contingent Business Interruption exposures flowing from these risks.
- The biggest challenge risk managers face in this environment of rapidly changing technology is to ensure their business continuity and risk management plans adequately address these new emerging risks.
Australian businesses are likely to face challenges from a much wider range of disruptive forces in 2016 including new technologies, cyber incidents, macroeconomic developments and political risks according to the 2016 Allianz Risk Barometer of Top Business Risks.
Business Interruption and Supply Chain Risks remain in the top spot globally for the fourth year in succession - with 38% of responses. However, the big movers are in the new tech space, where respondents feel most vulnerable to financial loss.
Market Developments came in second globally but was rated first by Australian respondents for the first time. The combination of increasing automation, digitalization and interconnectivity, and intense competition from non-traditional and agile starts-ups that are better positioned to take advantage of new technology seems to be of most concern in established markets.
At third on the list, Cyber Incidents (cyber-crime, data breaches, IT Failures) is now of greater concern than Natural Disasters (ranked fourth) and New Technologies (impact of increasing interconnectivity and innovation), which has moved to eleventh spot.
Even in the Business Interruption space, respondents are expecting to see more financial loss claims in the future emanating from an increased reliance on new technology and the accompanying interconnectivity of businesses. At this stage, businesses feel powerless to assess and adequately plan for such losses.
The benefits flowing from the increasing digitalization and technological innovation in the new so called “fourth industrial revolution” or Industry 4.0 come with a number of potential new operational, security and strategic risks that may not be factored into existing business continuity and risk management plans.
The report concludes that the future effects of connected industries on the insurance sector are likely to be as follows:
- Connected industries are likely to drive changes in customers’ insurance needs, affecting the type and amount of coverage.
- While production will be more customised, efficient, robust and safe, there is a growing vulnerability to cyber-attacks and infrastructure breakdowns in a highly interconnected world.
- The insurance industry could see a change in loss patterns towards low frequency, high severity losses.
- Frequency losses will be reduced due to increased predictive/pre-emptive maintenance, driven by real time monitoring and data analytics in ‘smart’ factories.
- Malfunctions can be detected earlier and even prevented. This will boost demand for new risk and consulting services.
- Higher losses are possible due to cyber-attacks, greater disruption from (contingent) business interruption and potential infrastructure breakdown.
Holger Schaefer, CEO of AGCS Pacific said “in response to these challenges, AGCS has committed significant resources to developing solutions for its corporate client base in the constantly evolving areas of Cyber and Contingent Business Interruption. It will be insurers with the flexibility and capabilities to work together with corporate clients in addressing and finding solutions to these new challenges that are likely to be the winners in this increasingly competitive market.”
To view or download the full Allianz Risk Barometer 2016 visit: http://www.agcs.allianz
About Allianz Australia
General Insurance Company of the Year 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2009*
Best General Insurance Company of the Year 2014, 2012, 2010, 2007, 2006**
Workplace Gender Equality Award 2015, 2014
Women’s Council Employer of the Year Award 2013
Allianz Australia delivers a wide range of personal, commercial and corporate insurance products and services to more than 2.5 million policyholders. Over 50% of Australia's top 200 BRW-listed companies have some form of insurance cover with the group and the group provides workers compensation services to around one-fifth of Australian employees.
*Australia & New Zealand Insurance Industry Awards
**Australian Banking and Finance Insurance Awards